Prop bets: A deeper dive into how we cap big men and their rebounding numbers

We take a closer look at what goes into making prop selection especially as it relates to big men and rebounding numbers.

Keith Waggoner

3 minute read

Rebounding is tough
We are legitimately relying on the ball bouncing in the general direction of the player we are betting on. Last night for example, Nikola Jokic could have had 2-4 more rebounds just off missed free throws bouncing his direction off the miss; who would have thought that arguably the best rebounder in the league would not rebound 3 straight free throw misses. Fortunately for Nikola, and everyone who trailed our rebounding bet, he absolutely crushed his 13.5 line regardless with…

NBA Points of Strength Explained

A key insight into what Vegas is thinking can be found by examining points of strength. This article provides an in-depth explanation as to what that is.

Keith Waggoner

3 minute read

Why the NBA?
The NBA is much different than any other sport for one main reason… teams, coaches, playing styles and matchups can stay the same for years. Rosters can change, but rarely are they completely overhauled. Coaches can change playing styles, but rarely do they do a complete 180 year to year. Players can start to win matchups they would lose, but usually there is an evolution and progression that takes time. Because of this, and the fact that sometimes teams play as many as 4…

Timberwolves vs. Blazers 1Q

Twolves vs. Blazers, how to play this matchup according to LineProphet.com looking at the 1st quarter.

Keith Waggoner

1 minute read

A 1Q Deep Dive
Often times, with quick 2 game sets with teams, games are played in opposite ways. However, this year Minnesota has had 2 different sets with teams where they played a team 2 times in a row both at home (important to note not home/road or road/home), and both 1Qs points wise went about the same as the first game. New Orleans/Minnesota early in the year both went way under 1Q, and Sacramento/Minnesota both went way over. If this game was in Portland, the environment shift may have…