Revenge Spot
Dallas revenge game from earlier in the year. After losing by 3 in Dallas the line is all over the Mavs coming from -3 in Dallas, to -4.5 in L.A.. A massive 10.5 points of strength towards Dallas. If the Lakers struggled to defend a multi-ball handler scheme against the Pelicans last game with Ingram and CJ, they could be in for a long night with the 3 headed monster in the back court with Dinwiddie, Luka, and Brunson. I like the matchups here, Dallas is playing well and the lakers are in as bad a spot chemistry and moral wise as possible. Dallas right now is a buy team for me, and LA is a total sell team right now. Matchup History [LineProphet.com]

The Algorithm
The Line Prophet algorithm has Dallas favored by 14.55, and gives this prediction a 3.68/5 star rating which is at the top end of all predictions today. The Mavs best the Lakers in almost every key factor the algorithm takes into account and being a road favorite in the NBA this year has seen a postive trend as far as covering the spread at a 54% clip.

Official prediction [LineProhet.com]

The Play
Dallas Mavericks -4.5

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