Sam Culmer - Best Bets 12/03/2021
Lineprophet.com writer Sam Culmer finds a top look in an action-packed Friday NBA slate.
1) Atlanta Hawks -1.5 (-107)
The Philadelphia 76ers (11-11) go on the road to take on the Atlanta Hawks (12-10) in a Friday night showdown in the NBA. After a terrible start to the campaign, the Hawks have found their form posting an impressive 8-2 record in their last 10 games and welcome a slumping 76ers team who are 3-7 in their last 10 games. In their previous meeting on October 30th, Philly defeated the Hawks 122-94 as 3.5 point favourites in Philadelphia in which I am confident the Hawks get revenge tonight as 1.5 point home favourites.
LineProphet.com Power Prediction
Watching Philadelphia’s previous game, it was clear 76ers star Joel Embiid is not himself as he continues to make his comeback after testing positive for Covid-19. After Philly’s recent game, Embiid said “it’s going to take me a while to get back, especially legs and cardio and all that stuff.” As well, Tobias Harris, Philly’s second leading scorer, was absent for their morning shootaround which has me even more confident in the Hawks tonight if he doesn’t suit up.
In terms of key trends to consider, Philly is 4-8 ATS L12, 2-7 ATS L9 in Atlanta, and 4-9 ATS this season as an underdog. For Atlanta, they are 7-2 ATS L9 and 8-1SU as a home favourite. This line really stood out to me considering that Philly blew out the Hawks as 3.5 point favourites in the previous meeting and now the line jumps 5 points to the Hawks tells me that Atlanta will turn up here.
The Hawks are the more rested team, at home, in a revenge game where the number is all over Atlanta.
betting lines subject to change
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