Sam Culmer - Best Bets 12/09/2021
LineProphet.com writer Sam Culmer has found his favourite play of the day in the NBA.
The Pick: San Antonio Spurs -1.5 (-125)
After a tough loss on the Chicago Blackhawks Monday night, I am turning my attention to the NBA where I have a play in the Denver Nuggets/San Antonio Spurs matchup. I am fading the Nuggets tonight coming off an overtime victory against the Pelicans.
LineProphet.com Power Prediction
The Spurs opened up as 1.5 point underdogs and are now 2.5 point favourites as sharp money moved this line overnight. I agree with the line movement and interestingly enough, Spurs forward Keldon Johnson was announced out during the day and yet the line moved from 2 to 2.5. In the previous meeting on October 22nd, the Nuggets were 7.5 point favourites (won 102-96) and now the oddsmakers move the line 10 points towards the Spurs shows line strength and suggests the Spurs are a great look tonight at home.
Digging into the numbers, this season the Nuggets are 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS on back-to-backs and taking it one step further, the Nuggets are 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS this season in scenarios where they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, which applies tonight. All 3 losses came on the road to Western Conference opponents.
betting lines subject to change
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