🏒 Oilers Bounce Back? Why We’re Backing Edmonton (+125) in Game 3

After splitting the first two games of a wild Stanley Cup Final, we’re shifting our sights to Game 3 as the Oilers head to Florida. The model leans Edmonton with a predicted score of 3.56–3.11 and God forbid, yes—the juice is worth it.

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Model Prediction

Edmonton Oilers: 3.56
Florida Panthers: 3.11

LineProphet.com score prediction

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Power Line vs. Vegas Line

Power Line: Edmonton -103
Vegas Line: Edmonton +125

LineProphet.com powerlines

Implied probability of +125 is roughly 44%. Meanwhile, our model gives them about a 52.6% win chance—so yes, there's significant value here.

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Why Edmonton?

Game 1 was theirs in OT after a hard-fought battle. Game 2, despite a late rally, slipped away in double OT—but the Oilers outshot the Panthers and looked like the more dangerous team late. Edmonton dominated the puck in the second and third periods, and this squad’s momentum is far from fading.

McDavid is still doing alien things. Draisaitl’s ice time and two-way effort have been relentless. And the blueline crew is doing their part to limit Florida’s interior scoring chances. Add in some offensive balance across the bottom six and a power play that’s still firing at nearly 30%? That’s a live dog.

The Panthers are no joke, but they’re due for regression. Edmonton's expected goals through two games outpace Florida’s by a wide margin. Regression toward that mean—plus home ice shift—is exactly what we’re betting on.

LineProphet.com public tickets

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The Pick

We’re running with the Oilers at +125. The model likes it. The value’s there. The moment fits.

✅ Bet: Edmonton Oilers +125

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