Red Sox at -140? We're All In — Here's Why We're Backing Boston Tonight

Last night, the Red Sox found themselves in a 6-0 hole before they could blink, thanks to an Angels' first-inning power surge. Despite a valiant comeback effort, they fell just short, losing 7-6... But tonight, we're turning the page and backing Boston at -140.

Model Prediction (LineProphet.com)

Projected Score: Red Sox 5.40, Angels 3.94
Power Line: Boston -147, Angels +137
Vegas Line: Boston -140, Angels +120

Our model sees value in the current line, suggesting the Red Sox should be priced at -147.

LineProphet.com model powerline

Pitching Matchup

Brayan Bello takes the mound for Boston. While his season has had ups and downs, he's shown flashes of brilliance and has the stuff to keep the Angels' lineup in check. On the other side, Yusei Kikuchi starts for Los Angeles. Despite a respectable ERA, Kikuchi's 1-5 record indicates struggles, and the Red Sox lineup has the potential to exploit his weaknesses.

LineProphet.com pitcher matchup data

Angels' Struggles

The Angels are dealing with injuries to key players like Yoan Moncada and Robert Stephenson. Additionally, their lineup has been inconsistent, and their bullpen has been overworked.

Red Sox Resilience

Despite recent challenges, the Red Sox have shown resilience, nearly overcoming a significant deficit last night. With a lineup featuring Rafael Devers and Jarren Duran, they have the offensive firepower to take control early.

The Verdict

While the line is slightly below our model's projection, the combination of Boston's home-field advantage, the Angels' injuries, and the pitching matchup gives us confidence.

✅ Bet: Red Sox -140

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